The Egyptian population is making a noticeable progress concerning health and mortality. This progress started as early as the Second World War. In this study, some mortality indicators were selected. The data available for those indicators all over the past century were collected. The available studies and research were reviewed in order to identify high risk factors affecting mortality in general and those affecting infant mortality in particular. Using time series analysis, the best model for each indicator was estimated and checked. These models were used to get predictions till 2010. The steps as well as the methods for selecting the best model are presented. The predicted values for the mortality measures are given.
Hussein, Mounira, & Mahgoub, Youssef. (2000). Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality in Egypt. المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة, 33(1), 30-48. doi: 10.21608/mskas.2000.302249
MLA
Mounira Hussein; Youssef Mahgoub. "Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality in Egypt", المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة, 33, 1, 2000, 30-48. doi: 10.21608/mskas.2000.302249
HARVARD
Hussein, Mounira, Mahgoub, Youssef. (2000). 'Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality in Egypt', المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة, 33(1), pp. 30-48. doi: 10.21608/mskas.2000.302249
VANCOUVER
Hussein, Mounira, Mahgoub, Youssef. Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality in Egypt. المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة, 2000; 33(1): 30-48. doi: 10.21608/mskas.2000.302249
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