TInfant Mortality Rate (IMR) is one of the most sensitive indicators to the level of socioeconomic development in the human society. Here, a class of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models is used to analyze a time series of infant mortality rate. ARIMA (1,1,0) model is suggested and is proven to be more adequate especially with the natural logarithmic transformation of the original time series. Predicted values for infant mortality rate in Egypt for the time period 1983 - 2000 are derived.
. (1991). Analysis and Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) In Egypt Until Year 2000. المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة, 25(2), 32-46. doi: 10.21608/mskas.1991.303600
MLA
. "Analysis and Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) In Egypt Until Year 2000". المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة, 25, 2, 1991, 32-46. doi: 10.21608/mskas.1991.303600
HARVARD
. (1991). 'Analysis and Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) In Egypt Until Year 2000', المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة, 25(2), pp. 32-46. doi: 10.21608/mskas.1991.303600
VANCOUVER
. Analysis and Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) In Egypt Until Year 2000. المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة, 1991; 25(2): 32-46. doi: 10.21608/mskas.1991.303600
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